SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (14-2 SU, 9-7 ATS):
New
Head Coach Norv Turner takes over from conservative Marty
Schottenheimer. Turner figures to open up the offense, not that you
want to stray too far from handing the ball off the NFL MVP LaDainian
Tomlinson. Known for developing quarterbacks, Turner should help Pro
Bowler Philip Rivers, now in his second year as a starter. The line is
nasty and TE Antonio Gates is the best at his position but Rivers lacks
a stud wide receiver. The 3-4 defense, led by LB Shawn Merriman and NT
Jamal Williams, is top notch. San Diego is a definite Super Bowl
contender.
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 1998-2006)
SU: 66-78
ATS: 72-65-7
HF: 19-16-2
HD: 14-16
AF: 9-8
AD: 29-22-5
Sportsbook Buster:
The Chargers are 7-1 ATS versus the Raiders, the last eight meetings.
Sports Betting Angle: San Diego is 13-2 ATS as an underdog in its second straight road game.
DENVER BRONCOS (9-7 SU, 5-11 ATS):
The
Broncos were busy in the off-season, making a series of moves that
could land them back in the playoffs after missing the post-season
party for the first time since 2002, last year. RB Travis Henry, TE
Daniel Graham, DT Sam Adams and QB Patrick Ramsey (a backup to Jay
Cutler) all came via free agency while CB Dre Bly was garnered in a
trade with Detroit. The offense figures to pound the ball on the ground
with Henry while the defense, which allowed 26.1 PPG over the final 10
games of the season, will get an aggressive tune-up from new
coordinator Jim Bates.
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 1998-2006)
SU: 90-74
ATS: 71-66-7
HF: 31-35-3
HD: 2-0-1
AF: 20-20-2
AD: 18-10-1
Sportsbook Buster:
The Broncos are a combined 1-9-2 against the Bears (Nov. 25) and Vikings (Dec. 30).
Sports Betting Angle: Denver is 1-10 ATS coming off a SU win as an underdog.
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (9-7 SU, 8-8 ATS):
Priest
Holmes is back in camp as insurance against a protracted holdout by
Larry Johnson, the heart of the Chiefs running attack. With steady but
unspectacular Damon Huard replacing Trent Green at quarterback, KC will
need Johnson to bring some much needed stability to the offense. The
drafting of speedy WR Dwayne Bowe could open up lanes for superb TE
Tony Gonzalez but the offensive line is a real concern. The addition of
LBs Donnie Edwards and Napoleon Harris should boost the performance of
an improving defense.
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 1998-2006)
SU: 76-68
ATS: 72-67-5
HF: 30-21-2
HD: 10-6-2
AF: 12-18
AD: 18-22-1
Sportsbook Buster:
The Chiefs are 7-1-2 ATS versus the Chargers, the previous 10 meetings.
Sports Betting Angle: At 40-27-4 ATS, Kansas City has proven to be a solid play at home.
OAKLAND RAIDERS (2-14 SU, 6-10 ATS):
At
31, Lane Kiffin will be the NFL’s youngest head coach, a job made all
the more difficult by an offense that averaged just over 10 points a
game last season. Franchise quarterback JaMarcus Russell, the No. 1
overall pick, will bring some excitement—-but probably not too many
wins—-in his first season with the silver and black. Kiffin has a
stronger hand on defense where the Raiders finished third overall in
yards allowed and first in pass against the pass last year.
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 2002-2006)
SU: 64-80
ATS: 61-77-5
HF: 22-25-2
HD: 7-14-1
AF: 9-12-1
AD: 24-25-1
Sportsbook Buster:
The Raiders are a surprising 4-1 ATS their last five games versus the Colts, who they play in Oakland, Dec. 16.
Sports Betting Angle: Oakland has lost 11 of its last 12 home games ATS versus the division.
Legend:
SU = Straight Up
ATS = Against the Spread
HF = Home Favorite
HD = Home Underdog
AF = Away Favorite
AD = Away Underdog
Fourth of an eight-part NFL betting preview series
Next: Analyzing the NFC East